Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 8.070644 8.902863 9.809291 10.874161 12.096382 13.461821 15.111740
2026-01-25 6.812220 7.882728 9.125721 10.690113 12.627051 14.974161 18.076487
2026-02-01 6.059791 7.238926 8.668464 10.555730 13.022501 16.196436 20.690143
2026-02-08 5.491912 6.723771 8.268354 10.386529 13.279786 17.193347 23.071144
2026-02-15 5.025369 6.276866 7.890010 10.173469 13.411362 17.985169 25.225017
2026-02-22 4.697349 5.973444 7.659870 10.117482 13.725901 19.037319 27.885181
2026-03-01 4.321608 5.572928 7.259239 9.773933 13.570982 19.351153 29.398969
2026-03-08 3.950621 5.151544 6.795453 9.292983 13.151417 19.190987 30.073964
2026-03-15 3.717329 4.904984 6.558091 9.120436 13.178791 19.729366 32.018547
2026-03-22 3.777287 5.073392 6.923510 9.880421 14.747929 22.994304 39.505143
2026-03-29 3.683410 5.011727 6.943196 10.101091 15.452724 24.862506 44.693766
2026-04-05 3.486009 4.785598 6.699606 9.878990 15.378645 25.309194 47.035827
2026-04-12 3.402586 4.730016 6.720671 10.103012 16.129206 27.441734 53.613620
2026-04-19 3.235003 4.537798 6.517179 9.936267 16.162075 28.194116 57.245328
2026-04-26 3.091720 4.374731 6.348856 9.814169 16.261012 29.086912 61.429652
2026-05-03 2.953439 4.212049 6.170946 9.660387 16.281653 29.815554 65.380975
2026-05-10 2.817678 4.046599 5.978918 9.466634 16.203922 30.319637 68.865873
2026-05-17 2.719764 3.936411 5.871330 9.415701 16.402176 31.459867 74.459822
2026-05-24 2.579096 3.751438 5.629590 9.102981 16.040223 31.272565 76.092477
2026-05-31 2.423909 3.537219 5.329382 8.664651 15.384260 30.322688 75.172433
2026-06-07 2.328947 3.417472 5.184084 8.507237 15.303065 30.737596 78.737714
2026-06-14 2.387130 3.550716 5.477518 9.199947 17.103425 36.062973 100.748202
2026-06-21 2.358338 3.537669 5.515278 9.400789 17.851218 38.860151 115.167539